estimate_win_prob_given_posterior {grizbayr}

Estimate Win Probability Given Posterior Distribution

Description

Estimate Win Probability Given Posterior Distribution

Usage

estimate_win_prob_given_posterior(posterior_samples, winner_is_max = TRUE)

Arguments

posterior_samples

Tibble of data in long form with 2 columns 'option_name' and 'samples'

winner_is_max

Boolean. This should almost always be TRUE. If a larger number is better then this should be TRUE. This should be FALSE for metrics such as CPA or CPC where a higher cost is not necessarily better.

Value

Tibble of each option_name and the win probability expressed as a percentage and a decimal 'raw'

Examples

# Requires posterior_samples dataframe. See `sample_from_posterior()`
# for an example.
## Not run: 
estimate_win_prob_given_posterior(posterior_samples = posterior_samples)
estimate_win_prob_given_posterior(
    posterior_samples = posterior_samples,
    winner_is_max = TRUE
)

## End(Not run)