Forecast Verification Routines for Ensemble Forecasts of Weather and Climate

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Documentation for package ‘SpecsVerification’ version 0.5-3

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AbsErr Calculate the absolute error between forecast and observation
Auc Calculate area under the ROC curve (AUC) for a forecast and its verifying binary observation, and estimate the variance of the AUC
AucDiff Calculate difference between areas under the ROC curve (AUC) between a forecast and a reference forecast for the same observation, and estimate the variance of the AUC difference
aucdiff_cpp Calculate AUC difference 'AUC(fcst,obs) - AUC(fcst_ref, obs)' of two forecasts for the same observations, and the sampling standard deviation of the AUC difference (Internal C++ implementation)
auc_cpp Calculate AUC and its sampling standard deviation (Internal C++ implementation)
BrierDecomp Brier Score decomposition
BrierScoreDecomposition Brier Score decomposition
ClimEns Construct a climatological ensemble from a vector of observations.
Corr Calculate correlation between forecasts and observations, and assess uncertainty
CorrDiff Calculate correlation difference between a forecast and a reference forecast, and assess uncertainty
Detrend Auxiliary function for removing trends and mean from observation vector or ensemble matrix.
DressCrps Calculate the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) for a mixture of Normal distributions, for example generated by ensemble dressing
DressCrpsDiff Calculate DressCrps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
DressCrpss Calculate DressCrps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
dresscrps_cpp Dress CRPS
DressEnsemble Transform an ensemble forecast to a continuous forecast distribution by kernel dressing.
DressIgn Calculate the Logarithmic (Ignorance) Score for a mixture of Normal distributions, for example generated by ensemble dressing
DressIgnDiff Calculate DressIgn Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
ens Seasonal ensemble forecast of European average summer temperature
ens.bin Seasonal ensemble forecast of European average summer temperature
ens.cat Seasonal ensemble forecast of European average summer temperature
EnsBrier Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Brier Score
EnsBrierDiff Calculate EnsBrier Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
EnsBrierSs Calculate EnsBrier Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
EnsCorr Correlation skill analysis for ensemble forecasts
EnsCrps Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS)
EnsCrpsDiff Calculate EnsCrps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
EnsCrpss Calculate EnsCrps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
enscrps_cpp CRPS for ensemble forecasts (C++ implementation)
EnsQs Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Quadratic Score (QS) for categorical forecasts
EnsRps Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Ranked Probability Score (RPS) for categorical forecasts
EnsRpsDiff Calculate EnsRps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
EnsRpss Calculate EnsRps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
eurotempforecast Seasonal ensemble forecast of European average summer temperature
FairBrier Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Brier Score
FairBrierDiff Calculate FairBrier Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
FairBrierSs Calculate FairBrier Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
FairCrps Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS)
FairCrpsDiff Calculate FairCrps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
FairCrpss Calculate FairCrps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
FairQs Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Quadratic Score (QS) for categorical forecasts
FairRps Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Ranked Probability Score (RPS) for categorical forecasts
FairRpsDiff Calculate FairRps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
FairRpss Calculate FairRps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
FitAkdParameters Fit the 5 parameters used for affine kernel dressing by minimum CRPS estimation.
GaussCrps Calculate the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) for forecasts issued as Normal distributions
GaussCrpsDiff Calculate GaussCrps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
GaussCrpss Calculate GaussCrps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
GenerateToyData Generate artificial data for ensemble verification using a signal-plus-noise model
GetDensity Calculate density and integrated density function of a dressed ensemble forecast at a matrix of values
obs Seasonal ensemble forecast of European average summer temperature
obs.bin Seasonal ensemble forecast of European average summer temperature
obs.cat Seasonal ensemble forecast of European average summer temperature
obs.lag Seasonal ensemble forecast of European average summer temperature
PlotDressedEns Plot a series forecast distributions of dressed ensembles
PlotRankhist Plotting function for rank histograms
Rankhist Rank histogram for ensemble forecasts
ReliabilityDiagram Reliability diagram for probability forecasts
ScoreDiff Calculate average score difference and assess uncertainty
SkillScore Calculate a skill score and assess uncertainty.
SpecsVerification SpecsVerification - Forecast verification routines
SqErr Calculate the squared error between forecast and observation
TestRankhist Statistical tests for rank histograms