| senate_seat_forecast {fivethirtyeight} | R Documentation |
Senate Forecast 2018
Description
This file contains links to the data behind FiveThirtyEight's 'Senate forecasts' https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/
Usage
senate_seat_forecast
Format
A dataframe with 28353 rows representing seat-level results of the classic, lite, and deluxe Senate forecasts since Aug. 1, 2018 and 12 variables
- forecastdate
date of the forecast
- state
state of the forecast
- class
class of the forecast
- special
unknown
- candidate
name of the candidate
- party
party of the candidate
- incumbent
whether the candidate is incumbent
- model
the model of the forecast
- win_probability
the probability of the corresponding party winning
- voteshare
the voteshare of the corresponding party
- p10_voteshare
the top 10 percentile of the voteshare
- p90_voteshare
the top 00 percentile of the voteshare
Source
FiveThirtyEight’s House, Senate And Governor Models Methodology: https://fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-fivethirtyeights-house-and-senate-models-work/