| senate_national_forecast {fivethirtyeight} | R Documentation |
Senate Forecast 2018
Description
This file contains links to the data behind FiveThirtyEight's 'Senate forecasts' https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/
Usage
senate_national_forecast
Format
A dataframe with 450 rows representing national-level results of the classic, lite, and deluxe Senate forecasts since Aug. 1, 2018 and 11 variables
- forecastdate
date of the forecast
- party
the party of the forecast
- model
the model of the forecast
- win_probability
the probability of the corresponding party winning
- mean_seats
the mean of the number of seats
- median_seats
the median number of seats
- p10_seats
the top 10 percentile of number of seats
- p90_seats
the top 90 percentile of number of seats
- margin
unknown
- p10_margin
the margin of p10_seats
- p90_margin
the margin of p90_seats
Note
The original dataset included a meaningless column called "state", and all variables under this column was "US". So this column was removed.
Source
FiveThirtyEight’s House, Senate And Governor Models Methodology: https://fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-fivethirtyeights-house-and-senate-models-work/