| governor_state_forecast {fivethirtyeight} | R Documentation |
2018 Governors Forecast
Description
The raw data behind the story 'Forecasting the races for governor' https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/governor/
Usage
governor_state_forecast
Format
A dataframe with 7743 rows representing state-level results of the classic, lite, and deluxe gubernatorial forecasts since Oct. 11, 2018. and 10 variables
- forecastdate
date of the forecast
- state
state of the forecast
- candidate
name of the candidate
- party
party of the candidate
- incumbent
whether the candidate is incumbent
- model
the model of the forecast
- win_probability
the probability of the corresponding party winning
- voteshare
the voteshare of the corresponding party
- p10_voteshare
the top 10 percentile of the voteshare
- p90_voteshare
the top 00 percentile of the voteshare
Note
The original dataset included two empty column "district" and "special",which were removed.
Source
FiveThirtyEight’s House, Senate And Governor Models Methodology: https://fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-fivethirtyeights-house-and-senate-models-work/