horseshoe {brms}

Regularized horseshoe priors in brms

Description

Function used to set up regularized horseshoe priors and related hierarchical shrinkage priors for population-level effects in brms. The function does not evaluate its arguments – it exists purely to help set up the model.

Usage

horseshoe(
  df = 1,
  scale_global = 1,
  df_global = 1,
  scale_slab = 2,
  df_slab = 4,
  par_ratio = NULL,
  autoscale = TRUE,
  main = FALSE
)

Arguments

df

Degrees of freedom of student-t prior of the local shrinkage parameters. Defaults to 1.

scale_global

Scale of the student-t prior of the global shrinkage parameter. Defaults to 1. In linear models, scale_global will internally be multiplied by the residual standard deviation parameter sigma.

df_global

Degrees of freedom of student-t prior of the global shrinkage parameter. Defaults to 1. If df_global is greater 1, the shape of the prior will no longer resemble a horseshoe and it may be more appropriately called an hierarchical shrinkage prior in this case.

scale_slab

Scale of the Student-t slab. Defaults to 2. The original unregularized horseshoe prior is obtained by setting scale_slab to infinite, which we can approximate in practice by setting it to a very large real value.

df_slab

Degrees of freedom of the student-t slab. Defaults to 4.

par_ratio

Ratio of the expected number of non-zero coefficients to the expected number of zero coefficients. If specified, scale_global is ignored and internally computed as par_ratio / sqrt(N), where N is the total number of observations in the data.

autoscale

Logical; indicating whether the horseshoe prior should be scaled using the residual standard deviation sigma if possible and sensible (defaults to TRUE). Autoscaling is not applied for distributional parameters or when the model does not contain the parameter sigma.

main

Logical (defaults to FALSE); only relevant if the horseshoe prior spans multiple parameter classes. In this case, only arguments given in the single instance where main is TRUE will be used. Arguments given in other instances of the prior will be ignored. See the Examples section below.

Details

The horseshoe prior is a special shrinkage prior initially proposed by Carvalho et al. (2009). It is symmetric around zero with fat tails and an infinitely large spike at zero. This makes it ideal for sparse models that have many regression coefficients, although only a minority of them is non-zero. The horseshoe prior can be applied on all population-level effects at once (excluding the intercept) by using set_prior("horseshoe(1)"). The 1 implies that the student-t prior of the local shrinkage parameters has 1 degrees of freedom. This may, however, lead to an increased number of divergent transition in Stan. Accordingly, increasing the degrees of freedom to slightly higher values (e.g., 3) may often be a better option, although the prior no longer resembles a horseshoe in this case. Further, the scale of the global shrinkage parameter plays an important role in amount of shrinkage applied. It defaults to 1, but this may result in too few shrinkage (Piironen & Vehtari, 2016). It is thus possible to change the scale using argument scale_global of the horseshoe prior, for instance horseshoe(1, scale_global = 0.5). In linear models, scale_global will internally be multiplied by the residual standard deviation parameter sigma. See Piironen and Vehtari (2016) for recommendations how to properly set the global scale. The degrees of freedom of the global shrinkage prior may also be adjusted via argument df_global. Piironen and Vehtari (2017) recommend to specifying the ratio of the expected number of non-zero coefficients to the expected number of zero coefficients par_ratio rather than scale_global directly. As proposed by Piironen and Vehtari (2017), an additional regularization is applied that only affects non-zero coefficients. The amount of regularization can be controlled via scale_slab and df_slab. To make sure that shrinkage can equally affect all coefficients, predictors should be one the same scale. Generally, models with horseshoe priors a more likely than other models to have divergent transitions so that increasing adapt_delta from 0.8 to values closer to 1 will often be necessary. See the documentation of brm for instructions on how to increase adapt_delta.

Currently, the following classes support the horseshoe prior: b (overall regression coefficients), sds (SDs of smoothing splines), sdgp (SDs of Gaussian processes), ar (autoregressive coefficients), ma (moving average coefficients), sderr (SD of latent residuals), sdcar (SD of spatial CAR structures), sd (SD of varying coefficients).

Value

A character string obtained by match.call() with additional arguments.

References

Carvalho, C. M., Polson, N. G., & Scott, J. G. (2009). Handling sparsity via the horseshoe. Artificial Intelligence and Statistics. http://proceedings.mlr.press/v5/carvalho09a

Piironen J. & Vehtari A. (2017). On the Hyperprior Choice for the Global Shrinkage Parameter in the Horseshoe Prior. Artificial Intelligence and Statistics. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1610.05559v1.pdf

Piironen, J., and Vehtari, A. (2017). Sparsity information and regularization in the horseshoe and other shrinkage priors. Electronic Journal of Statistics. https://arxiv.org/abs/1707.01694

See Also

set_prior

Examples

set_prior(horseshoe(df = 3, par_ratio = 0.1))

# specify the horseshoe prior across multiple parameter classes
set_prior(horseshoe(df = 3, par_ratio = 0.1, main = TRUE), class = "b") +
  set_prior(horseshoe(), class = "sd")